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Don't be afraid to be a sheep.
Follow the trends. This is probably some of the hardest advice
for a trader to follow because the personality of the typical
futures trader is not "one of the crowd." Futures
traders (and futures brokers) are highly individualistic; the
markets seem to attract those who are. Very simply, it takes
a special kind of person, not "one of the crowd,"
to earn enough risk capital to get involved in the futures markets.
So the typical trader and the typical broker must guard against
their natural instincts to be highly individualistic, to buck
the crowd.
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| 2. |
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Know why you are in the markets. To relieve boredom? To hit
it big? When you can honestly answer this question, you may
be on your way to successful futures trading.
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| 3. |
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Use a system, any system, and stick to it. |
| 4. |
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Apply money management techniques to your trading. |
| 6. |
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Take a position only when you know where your profit goal is
and where you are going to get out if the market goes against
you.
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| 7. |
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Trade with the trends, rather than trying to pick tops and bottoms.
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| 8. |
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Don't trade many markets with little capital. |
| 9. |
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Don't just trade the volatile contracts. |
| 10. |
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Calculate the risk/reward ratio before putting a trade on, then
guard against the risk of holding it too long. |
| 11. |
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Establish your trading plans before the market opening to eliminate
emotional reactions. Decide on entry points, exit points, and
objectives. Subject your decisions to only minor changes during
the session. Profits are for those who act, not react. Don't
change during the session unless you have a very good reason.
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| 12. |
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Follow your plan. Once a position is established and stops are
selected, do not get out unless the stop is reached, or the
fundamental reason for taking the position changes.
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| 13. |
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Use discipline to eliminate
impulse trading.
Use technical signals (charts) to maintain discipline--the vast
majority of traders are not emotionally equipped to stay disciplined
without some technical tools. |
| 14. |
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Have a disciplined, detailed trading plan for each trade; i.e.,
entry, objective, exit, with no changes unless hard data change.
Disciplined money management means intelligent trading allocations
and risk management. The overall objective is end of year bottom
line, not each individual trade. |
| 15. |
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When you have a successful trade, fight the natural tendency
to give some of it back.
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| 16. |
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Use a disciplined trade selection system...an organized, systematic
process to eliminate impulse or emotional trading. |
| 17. |
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Trade with a plan--not with hope, greed, or fear. Plan where
you will get in the market, plan how much you will risk on the
trade, and plan where you will take your profits. |
| 18. |
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Cut losses short.
Most importantly, cut your losses short, let your profits run.
It sounds simple, but it isn't. Let's look at some of the reasons
many traders have a hard time "cutting losses short."
First, it's hard for any of us to admit we've made a mistake.
Let's say a position starts going against you, and all your
"good" reasons for putting the position on are still
there. You say to yourself, "it's only a temporary set-back.
After all (you reason), the more the position goes against me,
the better chance it has to come back--the odds will catch up."
Also, the reasons for entering the trade are still there. By
now you've lost quite a bit; you sell yourself on giving it
"one more day." It's easy to convince yourself because,
by this time, you probably aren't thinking very clearly about
the position. Besides, you've lost so much already, what's a
little more? Panic sets in, and then comes the worst, the most
devastating, the most fallacious reasoning of all, when you
figure: "That contract doesn't expire for a few more months;
things are bound to turn around in the meantime."
So it goes; so cut those losses short. In fact, many experienced
traders say if a position still goes against you the third day
in, get out. Cut those losses fast, before the losing position
starts to infect you, before you "fall in love" with
it. The easiest way is to inscribe across the front of your
brain, "Cut my losses fast." Use stop loss orders,
aim for a $500 per contract loss limit...or whatever works for
you, but do it. |
| 19. |
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Let profits run.
Now to the "letting profits run" side of the equation.
This is even harder because who knows when those profits will
stop running? Well, of course, no one does, but there are some
things to consider. First of all, be aware that there is an
urge in all of us to want to win...even if it's only by a narrow
margin. Most of us were raised that way. Win--even if it's only
by one touchdown, one point, or one run. Following that philosophy
almost assures you of losing in the futures markets because
the nature of trading futures usually means that there are more
losers than winners. The winners are often big, big, big winners,
not "one run" winners. Here again, you have to fight
human nature. Let's say you've had several losses (like most
traders), and now one of your positions is developing into a
pretty good winner. The temptation to close it out is universally
overwhelming. You're sick about all those losses, and here's
a chance to cash in on a pretty good winner. You don't want
it to get away. Besides, it gives you a nice warm feeling to
close out a winning position and tell yourself (and maybe even
your friends) how smart you were (particularly if you're beginning
to doubt yourself because of all those past losers). That kind
of reasoning and emotionalism have no place in futures trading;
therefore, the next time you are about to close out a winning
position, ask yourself why. If the cold, calculating, sound
reasons you used to put on the position are still there, you
should strongly consider staying. Of course, you can use trailing
stops to protect your profits, but if you are exiting a winning
position out of fear...don't; out of greed...don't; out of ego...
don't; out of impatience...don't; out of anxiety...don't; out
of sound fundamental and/or technical reasoning...do.
19. You can avoid the emotionalism, the second guessing, the
wondering, the agonizing, if you have a sound trading plan (including
price objectives, entry points, exit points, risk-reward ratios,
stops, information about historical price levels, seasonal influences,
government reports, prices of related markets, chart analysis,
etc.) and follow it. Most traders don't want to bother, they
like to "wing it." Perhaps they think a plan might
take the fun out of it for them. If you're like that and trade
futures for the fun of it, fine. If you're trying to make money
without a plan--forget it. Trading a sound, smart plan is the
answer to cutting your losses short and letting your profits
run. |
| 20. |
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Do not overstay a good market. If you do, you are bound to overstay
a bad one also. |
| 21. |
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Take your lumps, just be sure they are little lumps. Very successful
traders generally have more losing trades than winning trades.
It's just that they don't have any hang-ups about admitting
they're wrong, and have the ability to close out losing positions
quickly.
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| 22. |
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Take your lumps, just be sure they are little lumps. Very successful
traders generally have more losing trades than winning trades.
It's just that they don't have any hang-ups about admitting
they're wrong, and have the ability to close out losing positions
quickly.
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| 23. |
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Program your mind to accept many small losses. Program your
mind to "sit still" for a few large gains. |
| 24. |
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Learn to trade from the short
side.
Most people would rather own something (go long) than owe something
(go short). Markets can (and should) also be traded from the
short side. |
| 25. |
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Watch for divergences in related markets--is one market making
a new high and another not following? |
| 26. |
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Recognize that fear, greed. ignorance, generosity, stupidity,
impatience. self-delusion, etc., can cost you a lot more money
than the market(s) going against you, and that there is no fundamental
method to recognize these factors. |
| 27. |
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Don't blindly follow computer trading. A computer trading plan
is only as good as the program. As the old saying goes, "Garbage
in, garbage out." |
| 28. |
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Learn the basics of futures trading. It's amazing how many people
simply don't know what they're doing. They're bound to lose,
unless they have a strong broker to guide them and keep them
out of trouble. |
| 29. |
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Standing aside is a position.
Patience is important. Standing aside is a
position. |
| 30. |
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Client and broker must have rapport. Chemistry between account
executive and client is very important; the odds of picking
the right AE the first time are remote. Pick a broker who will
protect you from yourself...greed, ego, fear, subconscious desire
to lose (actually true with some traders). Ask someone who trades
if they know a good futures broker. If you find one who has
room for you, give him your account. |
| 31. |
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Sometimes, when things aren't going well and you're thinking
about changing brokerage firms, think about just changing AEs
instead. Phone the manager of the local office, let him describe
some of the other AEs in the office, and see if any of them
seem right enough to have a first meeting with. Don't worry
about getting your account executive in trouble; the office
certainly would rather have you switch AEs than to lose your
business altogether.
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| 32. |
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Broker/client psychology must be in tune, or else the broker
and client should part company early in the program. Client
and broker should be in touch repeatedly, so when the time comes,
both parties are mentally programmed to take the necessary action
without delay.
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| 33. |
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Most people do not have the time or the experience to trade
futures profitably, so choosing a broker is the most important
step to profitable futures trading.
When you go stale, get out of the markets for a while. Trading
futures is demanding, and can be draining--especially when you're
losing. Step back; get away from it all to recharge your batteries.
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| 34. |
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Patience is important.
34. If you're in futures simply for the thrill of gambling,
you'll probably lose because, chances are, the money does not
mean as much to you as the excitement. Just knowing this about
yourself may cause you to be more prudent, which could improve
your trading record. Have a business-like approach to the markets.
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| 35. |
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Anyone who is inclined to speculate in futures should look at
speculation as a business, and treat it as such. Do not regard
it as a pure gamble, as so many people do. If speculation is
a business, anyone in that business should learn and understand
it to the best of his/her ability. |
| 36. |
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Approach the markets with a reasonable time goal.
When you open an account with a broker, don't just decide on
the amount of money, decide on the length of time you should
trade. This approach helps you conserve your equity, and helps
avoid the Las Vegas approach of "Well, I'll trade till
my stake runs out." Experience shows that many who have
been at it over a long period of time end up making money. |
| 37. |
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Don’t trade on rumors. If you have, ask yourself this:
"Over the long run, have I made money or lost money trading
on rumors?" O.K. then, stop it. |
| 38. |
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Beware of all tips and inside information. Wait for the market’s
action to tell you if the information you’ve obtained
is accurate, then take a position with the developing trend.
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| 39. |
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Don't trade unless you're well financed...so that market action,
not financial condition, dictates your entry and exit from the
market. If you don't start with enough money, you may not be
able to hang in there if the market temporarily turns against
you. |
| 40. |
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Be more careful if you're extra smart. Smart people very often
put on a position a little too early. They see the potential
for a price movement before it becomes actual. They become worn
out or "tapped out," and aren't around when a big
move finally gets underway. They were too busy trading to make
money. |
| 41. |
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Never add to a losing position.
Stay out of trouble, your first loss is your smallest loss.
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| 42. |
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Analyze your losses. Learn from your losses. They're expensive
lessons; you paid for them. Most traders don't learn from their
mistakes because they don't like to think about them.
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| 43. |
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Survive! In futures trading, the ones who stay around long enough
to be there when those "big moves" come along are
often successful. |
| 44. |
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If you're just getting into the markets, be a small trader for
at least a year, then analyze your good trades and your bad
ones. You can really learn more from your bad ones. |
| 45. |
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Traders don't clearly identify and then adhere to risk parameters;
i.e., stops. |
| 46. |
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"Rome was not built in a day," and no real movement
of importance takes place in one day. A speculator should have
enough excess margin in his account to provide staying power
so he can participate in big moves. |
| 47. |
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Take windfall profits (profits that have no sound reasons for
occurring).
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| 48. |
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Periodically redefine the kind of capital you have in the markets.
If your personal financial situation changes and the risk capital
becomes necessary capital, don't wait for "just one more
day" or "one more price tick," get out right
away. If you don't, you'll most likely start trading with your
heart instead of your head, and then you'll surely lose. |
| 49. |
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Always use stop orders, always...always... always. |
| 50. |
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Don’t use the markets to feed your need for excitement.
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These rules haven’t changed for several years. Following
them will not necessarily improve your chances for success. Futures
trading is not for everyone. Futures trading involves the risk of
loss.
PS. the Walsh Agency, Inc published The Following article.
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